Line Movement Plays

[Pokerfanatic]

This will be the only thread from now on for every day's plays. I don't want to keep cluttering the service plays section with a thread each day.

These are not personal plays from me, they are simply plays from lines moving in the opposite direction caused by sharp money, tout picks, or just random moves by the books. I've been tracking these for a little while and figured this could help some out.

The plays are 17-7 since Wed and hopefully continue to be solid.

There can be plays all the way up until a few minutes before game time and plays can be reversed to a no play at any time.

It is recommended that if you decide to bet one of these plays to wait for as long as possible to put in your bet because the lines can change often.

Most of the plays will be Underdogs but there will be a few Favorites mixed in

 

[Pokerfanatic]

MONDAY'S PLAYS:

Tennessee Martin -12 is a play
Samford +14 is a play


NBA:
Chicago Bulls +2.5 is a possible play(worth playing but not solid enough to to be a regular play)


I will note that on some "Favorite" plays, they can be slightly favored by the pubic but have to have significant line movement to become plays.

 

[It'sBlue]

MONDAY'S PLAYS:

Tennessee Martin -12 is a play
Samford +14 is a play


NBA:
Chicago Bulls +2.5 is a possible play(worth playing but not solid enough to to be a regular play)


I will note that on some "Favorite" plays, they can be slightly favored by the pubic but have to have significant line movement to become plays.

Hate to break in on your thread here, but how is Tenn Martin a play? Betting is 77% on them, but it opened at -10, has never gone below that, and is at -12.5 now?

 

[Pokerfanatic]

Hate to break in on your thread here, but how is Tenn Martin a play? Betting is 77% on them, but it opened at -10, has never gone below that, and is at -12.5 now?

At some books it did drop to 9.5 then went back up. Favorites are not going to happen often in here but there will be plays.

There will be plays where an underdog jumps from + to - but those will happen more often than a -10 or so.

 

[It'sBlue]

OK. More liberal application of RLM than maybe I would use, but it's your thread. I am on Samford, and I have my own liberal application that tells me to bet the Raptors +10 -- about 66% on Celts and opened at 11 down to 9.5 back to 10.

 

[Pokerfanatic]

I'm just testing some stuff right now though so Tenn Martin type plays will be more rare.

Like I said earlier I want to do Underdogs first and foremost.

 

[glcsports]

OK. More liberal application of RLM than maybe I would use, but it's your thread. I am on Samford, and I have my own liberal application that tells me to bet the Raptors +10 -- about 66% on Celts and opened at 11 down to 9.5 back to 10.

I'm with ya on both Blue arty:

 

[Pokerfanatic]

NBA: Chicago is upgraded to a play


Tennessee Martin -12 may no longer be a play


Today's Plays:


Samford +14 (Already started)
Chicago Bulls +2.5

 

[glcsports]

I'm just testing some stuff right now though so Tenn Martin type plays will be more rare.

Like I said earlier I want to do Underdogs first and foremost.

Hey Poker, good work sir. I have also been watching line moves, but just the one when the lines first come out and last week they were 19-11-1. Hopefully they keep up and yours do as well so we can make some $$$$$

 

[Pokerfanatic]

Hey Poker, good work sir. I have also been watching line moves, but just the one when the lines first come out and last week they were 19-11-1. Hopefully they keep up and yours do as well so we can make some $$$$$

Hey, thanks.

It's been good so far and I'm having fun doing it. Hopefully it will continue to show profit.

I know there will be some down days but hopefully alot more up days than down!

 

[PeterGriffin]

I don't know if this matters or means anything, but Tenn. Martin was a Dr. Bob play. That might explain the line jump.

 

[Pokerfanatic]

I hope his play wins but I'm not making Tenn Mart a play anymore

 

[Pokerfanatic]

1-0 to start with Samford covering

Going to make Indiana Pacers +9 a play.

I've only done 2 plays in the NBA so far with a 1-1 record to date.

2 pending tonight and they will probably decide whether I'll keep tracking the NBA plays or not.

 

[Pokerfanatic]

2-1 tonight

Pacers +9 Winner
Bulls +2 Loser
Samford +14 Winner

Plays stand at 19-8 overall

 

[NickelsAndDimes]

good job Poker ill continue to be on them! lets hope you found a gold mine here :lol: keep it up :toast:

 

[Pokerfanatic]

TUESDAY 1/13 PLAYS

Kansas St +6.5 is a play

 

[mtomto]

Poker..its GT now, but what about Ball St line moving UP when they lost their best player/stud for the season last game? Your Opinion there???THX.

 

[Pokerfanatic]

I was watching that one but I didn't feel it was strong enough to make a play. I hope it wins if you took it.

 

[Pokerfanatic]

NBA Minnesota +1 is a play

 

[Pokerfanatic]

Slow night tonight with K State struggling early but Tomorrow looks like it could be a really good day right now.